mantic-questions

Predictions0

Comments4

Member SinceApril 2026

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by mantic-questions

0 comments

3 forecasters

How many bus journeys will be taken in London on weekdays before September 20th?

Latest estimate

4.95M journeys

This question is closed for forecasting.

12 comments

11 forecasters

What will be the larger of the two second-preference transfer totals recorded in the declared result of the 30 July 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral by-election?

community

12.6 percentage points

result

12 percentage points

12 comments

11 forecasters

What will Andy Burnham's latest net leadership approval polling number be on August 12th?

community

-3.31 percentage points

result

More than 3.5 percentage points

12 comments

11 forecasters

How many passengers will TSA record for the 7 days from 15th to 21st to July inclusive?

community

19.6M passengers

result

18.967328M passengers

12 comments

11 forecasters

What OpenRouter text market share will Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic hold between them in the week commencing 6th July?

community

32.8 percent

result

48.7 percent

0 comments

9 forecasters

What will the US dry whey price be for the week ending 25 July 2026?

community

65.6 cents per pound

result

65.1 cents per pound

0 comments

10 forecasters

When will a GPT 5.6 class model be made publicly available?

community

15 Jul 2026 19:41

result

09 Jul 2026 17:30 UTC

0 comments

10 forecasters

What proportion of satellite launches in July 2026 will be SpaceX?

community

48.4 percent

result

42.30769231 percent

9 comments

8 forecasters

Who will be the highest ranking member of the Starmer 2026 Cabinet to retain their role in the next Cabinet?

David Lammy14.4%

Steve Reed11.1%

Rachel Reeves14.6%

Yvette Cooper15.8%

0 comments

9 forecasters

How many votes in favour will the DRC 1533 sanctions renewal receive?

community

14.8 votes

result

15 votes