11 forecasters

What will Andy Burnham's latest net leadership approval polling number be on August 12th?

community

-3.31 percentage points

result

More than 3.5 percentage points

Peer Score

community

+17.9

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+37.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

95.65

JSD Disagreement Score

10.01

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started Jul 21, 2026, 6:24 PM

Author:

mantic-questions

Opened:

Jul 21, 2026

Closes:

Jul 21, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 21, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will Andy Burnham's latest net leadership approval polling number be on August 12th?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?