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jordanolm
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April 2026
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9
forecasters
How many major oil infrastructure fires or explosions will be reported globally from May 1 to August 1, 2026?
Latest estimate
54.6 Incidents
This question is closed for forecasting.
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9
forecasters
How many countries will newly restrict Polymarket by August 1, 2026?
Latest estimate
18.5 Countries
This question is closed for forecasting.
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12
forecasters
Which concessions, if any, will the U.S. make to Iran to facilitate in-person negotiations by May 31, 2026?
Neither
68.7%
Both
9.2%
Blockade lifted only
13.9%
Removal HEU demand dropped only
8.1%
This question is closed for forecasting.
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10
forecasters
How many million net barrels of crude oil will be drawn from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve during May 2026?
Latest estimate
17.4 Barrels (millions)
This question is closed for forecasting.