12 comments
10 forecasters
How many persons will the U.S. Treasury sanction for paying or facilitating Strait of Hormuz transit fees between June 1 and August 9, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+9.0
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+112.0
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
101.01
JSD Disagreement Score
13.57
Panel forecasts
9
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 29, 2026, 7:12 AM
Author:
Opened:May 29, 2026
Closes:May 29, 2026
Resolved:Aug 18, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 29, 2026
Include Bots:Yes