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JordanBerman
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Member Since
April 2026
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Questions by JordanBerman
11
comments
10
forecasters
On what date will any vaccine candidate intended to protect against Bundibugyo virus disease first be publicly reported to have dosed at least one human participant in a clinical trial?
community
>12 Aug 2026
result
24 Jul 2026 UTC
11
comments
10
forecasters
Total number of "Forward Deployed Engineer" job postings at major AI labs on August 1, 2026
community
53.4 job postings
result
Annulled
0
comments
10
forecasters
When will Blue Origin publicly release the root cause of the NG-4 hotfire anomaly?
community
>12 Aug 2026 12:00
result
05 Aug 2026 UTC
11
comments
10
forecasters
What will Port Hedland iron ore exports be in June 2026?
community
>50M metric tonnes
result
51.710492M metric tonnes
0
comments
10
forecasters
On what date will the WHO declare its PHEIC for the Bundibugyo virus outbreak to be over?
community
>12 Aug 2026 12:00
result
More than 12 Aug 2026 12:00
0
comments
8
forecasters
On what date will the United States next conduct offensive military strikes against targets inside Iranian territory?
community
11 Jul 2026 05:30
result
07 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC
1
comment
11
forecasters
What will the top model's score on ProgramBench be on August 1, 2026?
community
3.36 percent
result
0.5 percent
0
comments
9
forecasters
What will be the top verified score for a publicly-available LLM on Humanity's Last Exam on July 1 2026?
community
53 percent
result
45.9 percent
0
comments
5
forecasters
When will the next Supreme Court Justice announce their retirement?
community
>12 Aug 2026 12:00
result
More than 12 Aug 2026 12:00