11 comments
10 forecasters
On what date will any vaccine candidate intended to protect against Bundibugyo virus disease first be publicly reported to have dosed at least one human participant in a clinical trial?
Peer Score
community
+9.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-25.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
43.68
JSD Disagreement Score
4.80
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 1, 2026, 3:35 PM
Author:
Opened:Jun 1, 2026
Closes:Jun 1, 2026
Resolved:Aug 4, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2026
Include Bots:Yes