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10 forecasters
On what date will the WHO declare its PHEIC for the Bundibugyo virus outbreak to be over?
Peer Score
community
+0.9
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+131.5
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
21.75
JSD Disagreement Score
3.10
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 20, 2026, 11:35 AM
Author:
Opened:May 20, 2026
Closes:May 20, 2026
Resolved:Aug 18, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2026
Include Bots:Yes