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finnhambly
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2
Member Since
April 2026
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Questions by finnhambly
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3
forecasters
What percentage will AfD receive in ZDF’s 17 September 2026 voting projection for Mecklenburg–Western Pomerania?
Latest estimate
36%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
3
forecasters
How many confirmed Ebola deaths in DRC will WHO report by 18 September 2026?
Latest estimate
3638 Deaths
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
11
forecasters
What 2035 minimum GB electricity demand will NESO forecast in eligible material between 5 Jun and 12 Aug 2026?
community
20.6 GW
result
0 GW
11
comments
10
forecasters
When will an open-weight AI model achieve 70%+ on CyberGym Level 1?
community
>12 Aug 2026
result
02 Jul 2026 UTC
12
comments
10
forecasters
When will Valve’s 2026 Steam Machine become available for purchase?
community
>12 Aug 2026
result
29 Jun 2026 UTC
0
comments
12
forecasters
What 2050 hydrogen-to-power capacity will NESO assume in material newly released between 22 May and 11 Aug 2026?
community
22 GW
result
0 GW
0
comments
11
forecasters
What current assets will EPOCH AI LTD report in its first Companies House accounts?
community
215k £
result
26.76k £
0
comments
8
forecasters
When will PortWatch first record at least 200 weekly transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz?
community
12 Jul 2026 20:33
result
28 Jun 2026 UTC
0
comments
10
forecasters
How escalatory will U.S. ground operations in Iran be before Aug 12?
Raid only
72.3%
Nuclear-material seizure only
4.6%
Kharg-only occupation
10.1%
Beyond Kharg
6.7%
2 others
6%
0
comments
7
forecasters
By what date will the first publicly released model score above 70% on SWE-Bench Pro (Public Dataset)?
community
12 Jul 2026
result
More than 12 Aug 2026 12:00
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