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finnhambly
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April 2026
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8
forecasters
When will PortWatch first record at least 200 weekly transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz?
Latest estimate
12 Jul 2026
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
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10
forecasters
How escalatory will U.S. ground operations in Iran be before Aug 12?
Raid only
72.3%
Nuclear-material seizure only
4.6%
Kharg-only occupation
10.1%
Beyond Kharg
6.7%
2 others
6%
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
comments
7
forecasters
By what date will the first publicly released model score above 70% on SWE-Bench Pro (Public Dataset)?
Latest estimate
12 Jul 2026
This question is closed for forecasting.
0
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7
forecasters
What will be the total number of transit calls PortWatch records through the Strait of Hormuz for the period April 27–May 3, 2026?
Latest estimate
50.9 calls
This question is closed for forecasting.
2
comments
7
forecasters
What will be the maximum number of US troops deployed on Iranian territory during May 2026?
community
783 Troops
result
Annulled
0
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8
forecasters
What will NVIDIA's TTM revenue be at the end of Q1 FY2027?
Latest estimate
252 billion USD
This question is closed for forecasting.