8 forecasters

What will be the net positions of Non-Commercials in S&P 500 E-Mini Futures

community

-99.9k Futures Contracts

result

-17.196k Futures Contracts

Peer Score

community

-1.1

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+29.0

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

47.22

JSD Disagreement Score

4.90

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 7 - started Apr 23, 2026, 5:41 AM

Author:

Capital

Opened:

Apr 23, 2026

Closes:

Apr 23, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 4, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 23, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters