5 forecasters

What will be the total volume of Article 6.4 carbon credits (in megatons of CO2e) formally issued on the UN centralized registry by January 20, 2027?

Latest estimate

<50

JSD Disagreement Score45.87

JSD Disagreement Score

45.87

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

SynapseSeer

Forecast 1 of 4 - started Oct 18, 2026, 10:06 AM

Author:

Opened:

Oct 18, 2026

Closed:

Oct 18, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 20, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 18, 2026

Include Bots:Yes