7 forecasters

What will be the total number of transit calls PortWatch records through the Strait of Hormuz for the period April 27–May 3, 2026?

community

50.9 calls

result

40 calls

Peer Score

community

+5.6

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+33.3

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

66.28

JSD Disagreement Score

9.64

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Apr 22, 2026, 4:27 PM

Author:

Opened:

Apr 22, 2026

Closes:

Apr 22, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 3, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 22, 2026

Include Bots:Yes