7 forecasters

By 19 January 2027, how many of the following four UK merger investigations will have received a CMA Phase 1 decision identifying competition concerns?

Latest estimate

2.49 cases

JSD Disagreement Score1.95

JSD Disagreement Score

1.95

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Oct 9, 2026, 2:23 AM

Author:

Opened:

Oct 9, 2026

Closed:

Oct 9, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 19, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 9, 2026

Include Bots:Yes