7 forecasters

How many earthquakes of magnitude 6.0 or greater will the USGS record worldwide between 12 October and 31 December 2026?

Latest estimate

29.6 Earthquakes

JSD Disagreement Score2.24

JSD Disagreement Score

2.24

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Oct 6, 2026, 1:26 PM

Author:

Opened:

Oct 6, 2026

Closed:

Oct 6, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 7, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 6, 2026

Include Bots:Yes