8 forecasters

When will representatives of the Ethiopian federal government and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) next meet for in-person dialogue?

Latest estimate

>21 Jan 2027

JSD Disagreement Score3.13

JSD Disagreement Score

3.13

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Oct 5, 2026, 4:17 PM

Author:

Opened:

Oct 5, 2026

Closed:

Oct 5, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 20, 2027

Upper bound:21 Jan 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 5, 2026

Include Bots:Yes