7 forecasters

What will be the highest number of confirmed human plague cases in Irkutsk Oblast officially reported by Russian state authorities by January 15, 2027?

Latest estimate

2.78 Cases

JSD Disagreement Score11.58

JSD Disagreement Score

11.58

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Oct 5, 2026, 1:20 PM

Author:

Opened:

Oct 5, 2026

Closed:

Oct 5, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 16, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 5, 2026

Include Bots:Yes