Peer Score
community
+1.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+44.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
57.11
JSD Disagreement Score
6.37
Panel forecasts
7
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 7 - started Apr 22, 2026, 3:28 PM
Author:
Opened:Apr 22, 2026
Closes:Apr 22, 2026
Resolved:Aug 13, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 22, 2026
Include Bots:Yes