9 forecasters

Which organization will have the top-ranked model on the LMArena Text leaderboard on December 31, 2026?

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Anthropic45.7%

Google40.7%

OpenAI7%

xAI2.5%

Others4%

Forecast Timeline

Anthropic

Google

OpenAI

xAI

Others

JSD Disagreement Score2.83

JSD Disagreement Score

2.83

Panel forecasts

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

AnthropicOpenAIOthers

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Oct 2, 2026, 12:18 PM

Author:

Axios

Opened:

Oct 2, 2026

Closed:

Oct 2, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 2, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 2

Which US state will have the highest cumulative CDC ILINet activity level for MMWR weeks 40 through 50 of the 2026–27 season (October 4 to December 19, 2026)?

[Practice] Which euro area member state will have the highest annual inflation rate in Eurostat's flash estimate for November 2026?

[Practice] What will the EU's aggregate gas storage filling level be for gas day 1 December 2026, according to GIE AGSI+?

8 forecasters