9 forecasters

How many LLM entries on the BALROG leaderboard will have a progress score of at least 60.0% on August 4, 2026?

Latest estimate

2.06 percent progress

Disagreement Score88.85

Author:

Opened:

Apr 22, 2026

Closed:

Apr 22, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 4, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 22, 2026

Include Bots:Yes