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8 forecasters
When will the CDC first report 5,000 or more confirmed US measles cases for 2026?
Latest estimate
22 Nov 2026
JSD Disagreement Score25.08
JSD Disagreement Score
25.08
Panel forecasts
5
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 5 - started Oct 2, 2026, 11:18 AM
Author:
Opened:Oct 2, 2026
Closed:Oct 2, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2027
Upper bound:21 Jan 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 2, 2026
Include Bots:Yes