8 forecasters

On what date will WuXi AppTec first be formally removed from the U.S. Department of Defense Section 1260H list of Chinese military companies?

Latest estimate

>21 Jan 2027

JSD Disagreement Score7.07

JSD Disagreement Score

7.07

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

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Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started Oct 1, 2026, 6:21 PM

Author:

Opened:

Oct 1, 2026

Closed:

Oct 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 20, 2027

Upper bound:21 Jan 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2026

Include Bots:Yes