6 forecasters

How many of 20 specific Python packages will publish Python 3.15-compatible wheels by August 4, 2026?

community

11.2 packages

result

4 packages

Peer Score

community

+35.1

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-3.2

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

99.97

JSD Disagreement Score

14.51

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 5 - started Apr 22, 2026, 2:18 PM

Author:

Suhas

Opened:

Apr 22, 2026

Closes:

Apr 22, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 6, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 22, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters