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3 forecasters
First day GPT-6 Astra prompt token usage on OpenRouter is at least 140 BTok?
Latest estimate
16 Sep 2026 13:03
JSD Disagreement Score3.27
JSD Disagreement Score
3.27
Panel forecasts
3
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 3 - started Sep 14, 2026, 7:19 AM
Author:
Opened:Sep 14, 2026
Closed:Sep 14, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Sep 20, 2026
Upper bound:20 Sep 2026 00:00
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 14, 2026
Include Bots:Yes