3 forecasters

Will Jascha Rohr receive more votes than Ulf Prange in the first round of the Oldenburg mayoral election?

58.7%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Disagreement Score4.36

JSD Disagreement Score0.05

Disagreement Score

4.36

JSD Disagreement Score

0.05

Panel forecasts

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

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Mantic

Forecast 1 of 3 - started Sep 10, 2026, 10:28 AM

Author:

Opened:

Sep 10, 2026

Closed:

Sep 10, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Sep 13, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 10, 2026

Include Bots:Yes