12 comments
11 forecasters
How many R01 project records in NIH RePORTER will have an 'Award Notice Date' from July 11 to August 11, 2026, inclusive, and contain an AI term?
Peer Score
community
+23.9
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+67.0
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
134.20
JSD Disagreement Score
25.53
Panel forecasts
10
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started Aug 4, 2026, 11:26 PM
Author:
Opened:Aug 4, 2026
Closes:Aug 5, 2026
Resolved:Aug 18, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 5, 2026
Include Bots:Yes