10 forecasters

How many public releases will U.S. Central Command publish on its official Public Releases page dated between 8/1/2026 and 8/10/2026?

community

7.83

result

Peer Score

community

+9.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-17.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

46.51

JSD Disagreement Score

3.32

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 PM

Author:

MarcosO

Opened:

Jul 30, 2026

Closes:

Jul 31, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 31, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters