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9 forecasters
On what date was the model publicly announced or released by its creator that holds the highest mean reward on the Long-Horizon Terminal-Bench (LHTB) leaderboard as of August 11, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+66.3
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+79.5
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
196.60
JSD Disagreement Score
31.99
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jul 24, 2026, 9:27 AM
Author:
Opened:Jul 24, 2026
Closes:Jul 24, 2026
Resolved:Aug 19, 2026
Upper bound:11 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 24, 2026
Include Bots:Yes