10 forecasters

When will the recordings or transcripts of Joe Biden's 2016–2017 interviews with ghostwriter Mark Zwonitzer be publicly released?

community

12 Aug 2026 00:01

result

27 Jul 2026 UTC

Peer Score

community

+41.2

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-43.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

200.08

JSD Disagreement Score

25.12

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 22, 2026, 9:21 PM

Author:

mrvella14

Opened:

Jul 22, 2026

Closes:

Jul 22, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 17, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 22, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters