9 forecasters

How many tracked orbital objects will re-enter Earth's atmosphere between July 21, 2026 and August 11, 2026, according to the Aerospace Corporation?

community

33.5 reentries

result

30 reentries

Peer Score

community

+0.5

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-2.9

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

144.83

JSD Disagreement Score

22.32

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jul 21, 2026, 3:15 PM

Author:

n.quinn

Opened:

Jul 21, 2026

Closes:

Jul 21, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 17, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 21, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters