11 forecasters

By how many million barrels will EIA-reported crude-oil inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma change between the weeks ending 17 July 2026 and 7 August 2026?

community

0.219 Millions barrels of oil

result

3 Millions barrels of oil

Peer Score

community

+23.5

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+80.7

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

104.45

JSD Disagreement Score

9.30

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started Jul 21, 2026, 10:25 AM

Author:

BenY

Opened:

Jul 21, 2026

Closes:

Jul 21, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 21, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters