8 forecasters

How many Iranian vessels will CENTCOM report as damaged or destroyed in Operation Epic Fury as of August 11, 2026?

community

214 Vessels

result

155 Vessels

Peer Score

community

+15.1

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+114.3

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

148.83

JSD Disagreement Score

26.23

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 7 - started Jul 9, 2026, 4:16 AM

Author:

pgodzin

Opened:

Jul 9, 2026

Closes:

Jul 9, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 17, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 9, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters