10 forecasters

Earliest 'Data da publicação' (July 15–Aug 10, 2026) for which Portugal’s Portal BASE cumulative contract count reaches 1,100

community

20 Jul 2026

result

17 Jul 2026 UTC

Peer Score

community

+55.1

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+21.2

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

174.61

JSD Disagreement Score

53.18

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 9, 2026, 1:20 AM

Author:

Opened:

Jul 9, 2026

Closes:

Jul 9, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 17, 2026

Upper bound:11 Aug 2026 23:00

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 9, 2026

Include Bots:Yes