10 forecasters

By how many CDR-SB points will low-dose diranersen slow clinical decline versus placebo at Week 76 in the Phase 2 CELIA trial?

community

0.551 CDR-SB Points

result

0.54 CDR-SB Points

Peer Score

community

+25.3

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+33.0

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

108.08

JSD Disagreement Score

15.79

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 6, 2026, 6:47 PM

Author:

BenY

Opened:

Jul 6, 2026

Closes:

Jul 6, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 27, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 6, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

By how many CDR-SB points will low-dose diranersen slow clinical decline versus placebo at Week 76 in the Phase 2 CELIA trial?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?