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10 forecasters
How many new paralytic polio cases (WPV1 plus cVDPV) will be added to the GPEI 2026 year-to-date total between July 6 and August 11, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+8.4
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-27.4
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
74.78
JSD Disagreement Score
8.49
Panel forecasts
9
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 5, 2026, 6:23 PM
Author:
Opened:Jul 5, 2026
Closes:Jul 5, 2026
Resolved:Aug 18, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 5, 2026
Include Bots:Yes