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10 forecasters
On what date will the Aider polyglot leaderboard first list a sub-$5 run with at least 80.0% correct?
Latest estimate
>11 Aug 2026
Disagreement Score43.24
Author:
Opened:Jul 4, 2026
Closed:Jul 5, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Aug 12, 2026
Upper bound:11 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 5, 2026
Include Bots:Yes