10 forecasters

On what date will the U.S. oil rig count exceed the gas rig count by more than 350, on or before August 12, 2026?

community

>12 Aug 2026 12:00

result

More than 12 Aug 2026 12:00

Peer Score

community

-0.2

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+129.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

49.46

JSD Disagreement Score

6.90

Panel forecasts

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CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 3, 2026, 11:38 PM

Author:

Opened:

Jul 3, 2026

Closes:

Jul 4, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 4, 2026

Include Bots:Yes