0 comments
10 forecasters
On what date was the model publicly announced or released by its creator that first caused the highest mean net worth in the All tab on the Vending-Bench 2 leaderboard to exceed $13,500?
Peer Score
community
+8.1
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+111.8
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
157.44
JSD Disagreement Score
20.73
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 3, 2026, 2:38 AM
Author:
Opened:Jul 3, 2026
Closes:Jul 3, 2026
Resolved:Aug 16, 2026
Upper bound:11 Aug 2026 21:00
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 3, 2026
Include Bots:Yes