11 forecasters

How many civil denaturalization complaints will the U.S. Department of Justice file in federal district court during July 2026?

community

31.4

result

More than 40.5

Peer Score

community

+7.4

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+72.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

52.26

JSD Disagreement Score

4.54

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started Jul 2, 2026, 11:15 PM

Author:

ksurapaneni

Opened:

Jul 2, 2026

Closes:

Jul 3, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 3, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters