9 forecasters

Cumulative 2026 mpox cases in Africa: Africa CDC total minus WHO confirmed, as of August 12, 2026

community

14.8k Cases

result

34.399k Cases

Peer Score

community

+12.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-37.7

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

62.92

JSD Disagreement Score

7.67

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jul 2, 2026, 9:22 PM

Author:

exmateriae

Opened:

Jul 2, 2026

Closes:

Jul 2, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 24, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 2, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters