11 comments
10 forecasters
On what date will Donald Trump next publish a Truth Social post about Mexico containing an adversarial keyword?
Peer Score
community
+48.9
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+45.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
158.14
JSD Disagreement Score
26.05
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 1, 2026, 9:51 PM
Author:
Opened:Jul 1, 2026
Closes:Jul 1, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2026
Include Bots:Yes