11 forecasters

Among {VIC, SA, TAS, NSW, QLD, None}, in which NEM region does AEMO issue the first actual (non-forecast) LOR2-or-higher reserve notice on or after 00:00 AEST 2 July 2026?

SA9.3%

NSW10.2%

QLD4.4%

Noneresult: Yes

Forecast Timeline

NSW

QLD

None

Others (2)

Peer Score

community

+6.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+74.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

60.40

JSD Disagreement Score

6.12

Panel forecasts

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

VICNSWNone

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started Jul 1, 2026, 1:32 PM

Author:

jamiedarcy

Opened:

Jul 1, 2026

Closes:

Jul 1, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 16, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters