10 forecasters

When will the FRBSF report that the Daily News Sentiment Index reached a new maximum for 2026, on or before August 12, 12:00 UTC?

community

>12 Aug 2026

result

06 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

Peer Score

community

+59.7

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-16.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

127.11

JSD Disagreement Score

28.33

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 1, 2026, 11:37 AM

Author:

Nicolò_Bagarin_404_NOT_FOUND

Opened:

Jul 1, 2026

Closes:

Jul 1, 2026

Resolved:

Jul 10, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters