10 forecasters

What will the New York Fed’s Global Supply Chain Pressure Index be for July 2026?

community

1.69 SDs

result

0.79 SDs

Peer Score

community

+5.8

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+4.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

57.10

JSD Disagreement Score

7.16

Panel forecasts

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CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 1, 2026, 10:24 AM

Author:

summersurvey

Opened:

Jul 1, 2026

Closes:

Jul 1, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 19, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters