10 forecasters

What will FRED report as the July 2026 monthly average federal funds effective rate?

community

3.64%

result

3.63%

Peer Score

community

+1.2

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+172.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

111.76

JSD Disagreement Score

18.52

Panel forecasts

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CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jul 1, 2026, 8:27 AM

Author:

summersurvey

Opened:

Jul 1, 2026

Closes:

Jul 1, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 6, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 1, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters