10 forecasters

Exactly how many unannounced "compliance audits" will Australia's new National Environmental Protection Agency (NEPA) officially report initiating between July 1 and August 11, 2026?

community

3.48 Audits

result

0 Audits

Peer Score

community

+7.8

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+79.0

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

64.29

JSD Disagreement Score

6.88

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 30, 2026, 2:31 PM

Author:

jamiedarcy

Opened:

Jun 30, 2026

Closes:

Jun 30, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 21, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 30, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters