10 comments
9 forecasters
On what date will the POTUS first sign, issue, or officially publish an executive action increasing the baseline global tariff rate imposed under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 above 10%?
Peer Score
community
+1.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+116.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
25.58
JSD Disagreement Score
4.48
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jun 29, 2026, 1:24 PM
Author:
Opened:Jun 29, 2026
Closes:Jun 29, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2026
Include Bots:Yes