9 forecasters

On what observation date will U.S. seasonally-adjusted Initial Claims first exceed 260,000?

Latest estimate

>11 Aug 2026

Disagreement Score34.70

Author:

Opened:

Jun 29, 2026

Closed:

Jun 29, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 12, 2026

Upper bound:11 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 29, 2026

Include Bots:Yes