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9 forecasters
On what observation date will U.S. seasonally-adjusted Initial Claims first exceed 260,000?
Peer Score
community
+0.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+129.0
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
34.70
JSD Disagreement Score
5.02
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jun 29, 2026, 4:21 AM
Author:
Opened:Jun 29, 2026
Closes:Jun 29, 2026
Resolved:Aug 16, 2026
Upper bound:11 Aug 2026 15:00
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2026
Include Bots:Yes