10 forecasters

Will the concept of a laffer curve get more popular appeal in economists by August 12th?

community

27.7 Papers

result

More than 100.5 Papers

Peer Score

community

+79.0

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-2.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

148.83

JSD Disagreement Score

26.69

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 9 - started Jun 27, 2026, 12:20 PM

Author:

Capital

Opened:

Jun 27, 2026

Closes:

Jun 27, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 13, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters