11 forecasters

How many ACLED-recorded explosive/strike events will occur in Crimea between July 1, 2026 and August 1, 2026?

Latest estimate

51.4 Events

Disagreement Score85.99

Author:

Opened:

Jun 27, 2026

Closed:

Jun 27, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 4, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes