13 comments
11 forecasters
How many ACLED-recorded explosive/strike events will occur in Crimea between July 1, 2026 and August 1, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+2.3
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-50.0
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
85.99
JSD Disagreement Score
11.73
Panel forecasts
10
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started Jun 27, 2026, 7:52 AM
Author:
Opened:Jun 27, 2026
Closes:Jun 27, 2026
Resolved:Sep 2, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2026
Include Bots:Yes