9 forecasters

How many new ClinicalTrials.gov studies mentioning GLP-1 will be first posted between June 1, 2026 and August 7, 2026?

community

50 Studies

result

More than 100.5 Studies

Peer Score

community

+24.2

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+51.8

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

168.76

JSD Disagreement Score

29.26

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started Jun 23, 2026, 5:27 AM

Author:

pgodzin

Opened:

Jun 23, 2026

Closes:

Jun 23, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 16, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 23, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters