8 forecasters

What will be the net sum difference in national debt between two top trackers.

community

206M $

result

Less than 1×10⁻¹⁰ $

Peer Score

community

+46.7

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+62.1

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

149.94

JSD Disagreement Score

32.07

Panel forecasts

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CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 7 - started Jun 19, 2026, 3:21 PM

Author:

Capital

Opened:

Jun 19, 2026

Closes:

Jun 19, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 21, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 19, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters